Market Commentary February 16

The Trading Daily Market Commentary features a summary of selected market segments as well as economic matters. Its content of interest is made available to all traders and investors at large

The stock market sailed in America yesterday as Thursday's noise transformed into renewed optimism after a new budget compromise and positive sentiment on China trade tariff talks.

The DJI jumped gained plus 1.74%, the Nasdaq 100 index finished strong with plus 0.47%, with the S&P500 was even stronger closing plus 1.09% while the Russell 2000 small-cap index had the best day ending 1.56%. 

This denotes the eight-consecutive trading week of increases for both the DJI and the Nasdaq market, and the seventh week of expansions for the S&P500 broader index. Quite a turn-around of an event bouncing off the low level of the last year, although, this is pretty much in order with how we have seen the markets coming into this earlier week.

In the event you missed it, America was formally placed under a general state of emergency yesterday. The president signed the order into effect yesterday afternoon, demanding $8 Billion in funding to erect the America-Mexico border wall. 

The signing happened just after President Trump signed the federal budget enacted by Congress to evade a second federal government shutdown; however, this won't keep him from working every angle to support his campaign promise of completing a border wall by any means necessary. 

The Southern border issue ensures to have more legs as it works through legal hurdles. Meantime, America-China trade tariff talks will proceed into next week; however, this time moving to Washington from Beijing. And so it continues.

BTW, American, market(s) will be closed on February 18 (Monday), in honor to celebrate of President’s Day.

Other Market(s)

The Asian-Pacific market finished on a depressing note for the week from an otherwise posting moderately decent weekly return.

The Japan Nikkei 225 index declined 1.08% yet managed to rise 2.81% for the entire trading week. The core Shanghai index sank 1.37% yesterday. Chinese-America trade tariff talks still have to conclude with the situation passing the middle of the month point on Friday.

The South Korea KOSPI and H.K. Hang Seng indices lost 1.38% and 2.03% respectively, leaving the Hang Seng index to be the poorest performer of the week. The Aussie ASX200 index rose moderately higher on Friday, ending the week flat.

The Aussie Dollar also advanced versus the US Dollar, noting capital flows infiltrating into the region. The New Zealand Dollar also benefited increasing 0.37%. The Greenback was taking some gains back from the Asian-Pacific region as a whole, as it looks risk has been taken off for now.

Some economic data being reported in China. Fresh loans rose much higher than anticipated by 3023 Billion versus a projection of 2800 Billion. Indian Reserves decreased slightly to 398 Billion from 400 Billion. Imports/exports numbers mostly settled the same for India.

The Eurozone market(s) seemed to be fired up over the story that PM Teresa May’s support was removed following Thursday's vote in the U.K. house of commons. Although not legally obligatory, it did mention faith in the Conservative party’s direction, and conviction was seriously questioned. 

The results typically were divided between political parties, displaying a lack of crucial reasoning. There shows to be very little concern for what may be beneficial for the "We the people" instead; it is solely political motivation to point fingering and to declare “We can do much better than you.”

This is a truly historic time for Great Britain. Unless the “Greatest plan” as well as unity is reached between the political parties, then it's assured that this won't end healthy for the country.

The markets seem to respond to this with the European Union markets, benefiting very well, with the likes of the German DAX30 rising 2% for the session. French CAC40, Spanish IBEX, and the Italian FTSE MIB indices rose close to 2% also. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index climbed by 0.6% on the day. 

When we analyze the Forex market the British Pound advanced versus the US Dollar with 0.70% solid gain, whereas the Euro Dollar stayed flat.


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